RSS订阅 加入收藏  设为首页
澳门银河线上网址
当前位置:首页 > 澳门银河线上网址

澳门银河线上网址:The shape of the bottom of the market is beginning to take shape

时间:2018/6/7 20:16:18  作者:  来源:  浏览:0  评论:0
内容摘要: 7_89456_3_65_473_9The Shanghai Composite Indexwas in a narrow range and ended up slightly up by 0.03% to end at 3115.18 points. The Japanes...

K图 000001_17_89456_3_65_473_9

The Shanghai Composite Index was in a narrow range and ended up slightly up by 0.03% to end at 3115.18 points. The Japanese K line seized three even-yang. The market volume shrank, and the total transaction between the two cities was only 366 billion yuan, and the industry sector was mixed.

Institutions have expressed their views on the market outlook.

Day letter investment adviser: the market bottom of the form to take shape two forms boosting market started

market tomorrow forecast: Today

does not appear we expect the rising trend shouted, but the formation of a pattern within a narrow range. From a morphological point of view, the Shanghai stock index formed a small Yangxian that stood on the 10-day moving average, and the ChiNext stock board formed a crosshair. The two types of K-line are obviously signals of rising prices, so we expect the probability of staying upward in the future will be greater.

short-term market judgment:

Although today's stock tepid, phased rest, but really a pattern from a market point of view, the current one is a support point 3100 point mark integer, the second is falling After the rebound request, the current position continues to have the advantage of location. The volume remained balanced, indicating that the market is currently in a state of equilibrium. Whether it is a multi-party or an empty-side, it is basically cautious, and the choice of direction cannot be seen only from the perspective of volume. The analysis of moving averages believes that the 5-day moving average has already started to turn up, and the 10-day moving average also shows signs of turning. It is expected that the 5-day moving average is expected to wear the 10-day moving average and the 20-day moving average and the 30-day moving average will continue for the next period of time. To move closer to the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average, the market will really start from idling more. The Shanghai Stock Index formed a small shocking Yang Xian, the GEM formed a shocking cross star, all of which are formed in the low position.

Investment Advice in the Future:

In summary, although the current market did not continue the upward trend of the previous trading days, but the pattern will boost further upward, but make the market trend further clear, the formation of the bottom has begun to take shape . Operationally, the fundamentals of individual stocks from more choice, try to avoid stocks there may be a greater risk of mines, in order to stabilize the main, such as stagflation type of large consumer stocks, with a stagflation type and performance of technology stocks, etc. Are all good choices! 3000 near

not pessimistic outlook in June, the trouble should end it, waiting for the marginal easing of monetary policy: State Securities

. Before

As proposed in marketing strategy research report, factors constraining the A-share market is mainly attributed to the three categories, the first is the weak euro, the strong dollar continued pattern; the second is some uncertainty in the business environment with The third is that financial deleveraging has still become the current direction of supervision, and monetary policy remains neutral.

If the above three factors persist, A-share is difficult to change the weak trend. Follow-up is expected to break the current stalemate pattern of A shares, or marginal changes in the "third point that is monetary policy".

In general, when uncertainties in external demand increase, in order to hedge the downturn in the economy, the macro-control department will start the “appropriate expansion of domestic demand” initiative instead of maintaining the current “recovery of external demand + suppression of domestic demand” combination.

Overall, we are not pessimistic about the A-shares around 3,000 points. It is expected that A-shares will be in the stage of “repeatedly grounding” and that the monetary policy shift to marginal easing will be verified over time, and the index will be staged as “first suppress and then rise.”

In the June industry configuration, under the current macroeconomic background, it is favored that “the profitability of corporate profits is much higher than its growth”, trying to find “a” plates or stocks, and correspondingly narrowing the “β” plate configuration.

specific to the sector allocation, we recommend underestimate the value of the "big finance" and the other "consumer upgrade" as the main line of the 2018 configuration, pharmaceutical and biotech, food and beverage , leisure services, media advertising, packaging, textile and clothing other plates Benefits; topics, the main push new retail and so on.

Huachuang Securities: Embracing the Post-Cycle Sector

The marginal changes in liquidity brought about by cyclical movements and regulatory tightening make the A-share market as a whole “unusual” this year, faced with the external shock of trade “indecisiveness”. While further improving and deepening the supply-side structural reforms, the firm implementation of the strategic industrialization transformation road reflects our “initiative change” in internal reform and opening to the outside world.

In June of the end of the second quarter, we emphasized that the outside world focuses on the evolution of the trade friction game, focusing internally on the policy orientation of expanding domestic demand, reducing costs, and increasing innovation support during the three major challenges.

April 17, the central bank announced the RRR by 10 basis points, net invested 400 billion yuan of liquidity, which is aimed at stabilizing cost of bank debt, reduce the "gap" between large and small banks, while promoting market interest rates two Interest rates gradually merged.

Although it is helpful to ease the cost and liquidity pressure brought by the bank’s debt back to the table, the “fine-tuning” of monetary policy this year is still focused on the principle of hedging and strict supervision, resulting in “tight supervision, wide currency” and true flow. The sexual inflection point has not yet arrived. At the same time, as we observe market sentiment sentiment indicators, we are still at a low level of around 30%, and the space for liquidity and market sentiment indicators is still under the “compression” channel.

From the perspective of configuration, under the “resonance” of three major factors: profitability pressure, credit risk expansion and market liquidity tightening, the arrival of the cyclical market will come. In terms of industry configuration, it is recommended that there be a post-cycle segment with defensive attributes: food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, and commerce.

In addition, the upward trend of oil price turned into a wide range of shocks under the oil and petrochemical industry chain investment opportunities, the industry restructuring under the high pressure of the pesticide industry subdivision areas. Finally, under the trade friction, there are counter-cyclical growth attributes, and artificial intelligence, software service and other subdivided areas under the guidance of autonomous and controllable policies.

In the final analysis, eight industries were selected: computer, food and beverage, non-banking finance, pharmaceutical biology, chemical industry, machinery, trading company services, and agriculture. Subject include Global Safety Technology , Hundsun , Chongqing Brewery , CITIC Securities , Dashenlin , Lier Chemical , Hang oxygen shares , China International Travel and St. agricultural development .

Northeast Securities : Market area in late June Or Minglang

The recent weak market, mainly due to tight liquidity, a slight fall in earnings growth, tight financial supervision, and the dominant property of second-tier and third-tier housing prices in large assets, the stock market has not yet triggered sufficient conditions for the index trend. The stock market game mentality of entering and retiring. Therefore, the stock market is still a big pattern of shocks.

At the same time, with the release of the stock market in June, some uncertainties and risks, the market may usher in a crucial time window for shocks to bottom out and turn around. Therefore, in operation, it is not impatience, and the entry should be slow, waiting for a better time to buy, fight to eat during the year. Specifically, judging from the law of market conditions in the shock market, June is more critical.

It can be seen that since February 2016, the stock market has generally operated in the post-catastrophe stage; under the premise of taking into account financing needs, such as poverty alleviation and Unicorn IPO, the stock market policy is intended to stabilize, the money-making effect is insufficient, and the structure and stages are The characteristics of the market are more obvious. In June 2016 and June 2017, both were the time windows when the index bottomed out. In other words, if the average price in June entered the market, then the probability of profit in the later period is greater.

In addition, the difference between 2016 and 2017 is that in the previous two years, the market was generally dominated by blue chip stocks, Shanghai 50, and from 2018 to now, it was dominated by small and medium-sized companies and most recently 2 months. Relatively balanced. Therefore, it is more structurally necessary to track the extent of the bottom consolidation of the main growth line.

In the short term, limited shares lifted pressure, unicorn financing pressure and the June Federal Reserve interest rate pressure, the market digging a lot of catalysts. Seen from the wave operation, the index rebounded from 3050 points to 3210 points in the early stage, and afterwards it adjusted and fell below the 20-day moving average, then the support of the 3050-3130 area needs to be tested. It is a good opportunity to either complete the digging of the index or take advantage of the time window.

Overall, in the weak market context, the left side is not easy; it tends to be a defensive counterattack and the entry should be slow. Operation, the market may attack two possible opportunities, that is, either index digging pits, or even fell to the 3,000 line or even below; or the information side bearish as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, MSCI funds are good to fulfill the arbitrage funds out, this is generally 6 It will become clear later in the month.

AVIC Securities: Market will be more biased to valuation rationality From the perspective of policy analysis, the central bank will still maintain a stable and neutral monetary policy, but with the external fluctuations, there will be corresponding measures. In terms of economic policy, China's economy will still maintain its own operating pattern, and will not deviate too much. The impact on A-shares is short-term or fluctuating, and it will continue to fluctuate in the medium to long-term.

In addition, A shares formally joined MSCI on June 1st, and the management will pay more attention to market supervision and regulation. It is expected that the market will pay more attention to valuation rationality and the value investment concept will be further deepened.

From the perspective of fundamental economic data, the target of GDP for the year of 2018 is about 6.5%. In the first quarter of 2018, GDP was 6.8%. With the deepening adjustment of economic institutions and changes in the international environment, GDP is expected to fall slightly in the second quarter, but the year-round target is no worries. April's CPI accounted for 1.8%, a slight drop from the previous month. It returned to the “1st era” and was at a relatively low level relative to the 3% control target in 2018, with limited impact on monetary policy. In April, the level of PPI was 3.4%, remaining stable.

based on the economic data has been released and major institutions forecast average, combined with the latest changes in the international and domestic economic environment, as well as the 2018 economic goals and policy-oriented analysis, expected in June stock index on K-closing Yang, the overall performance of the shock On the upside, the main support is near the 3,000-point mark and the pressure is near the 120-day moving average.

the operation strategy, the main recommendations for bargain hunting, position control in about 80%, in view of the White Horse blue chip shares more fully adjusted, dips line layout. Also recommended can focus on small and medium-invasive as the representative of small and medium capitalization companies, selected in line with national industrial policy orientation, excellent performance, good growth stocks, a bargain layout.

stock-picking strategy: according to a published quarterly and semi-annual report is expected, stocks were screened in terms of performance, growth, ownership concentration and so on.

Trading Strategy: Follow the principle of value and growth, look for low-value products, buy them at low prices, and hold long-term contracts.


相关评论

本类更新

本类推荐

本类排行

本站所有站内信息仅供娱乐参考,不作任何商业用途,不以营利为目的,专注分享快乐,欢迎收藏本站!
所有信息均来自:百度一下 (网上赌博大网址)
豫ICP备2355867860号